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Is the "Mad Hatter" Phase of a Clinically Panicked Market Close to Its End, At Least?

28 Febrero 2020 Lysakov Sergey

The Wall Street's major indexes crashed for the sixth straight session this week. The S&P 500 stock index lost almost 500 basic points by plunging near to 15% below the level of its February 19 record close and confirmed its fastest correction in history, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices analyst Howard Silverblatt. The previous record was about a 12% fall for nine days in early 2018, but it was "only" 345 basis points at that time. The markets were spooked by a proposed slowdown in the Chinese economy then.

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The British Pound Has Some Support as the EU's Negotiating Mandate Is Ready

26 Febrero 2020 Lysakov Sergey

GBP/USD traded above 1.30 on Tuesday, which was the day when a press conference where chief EU's negotiator Michel Barnier was present, took place., Today's picture is different. The Sterling retreated to lower levels under 1.2930. Yet, the British currency has generally received a certain fundamental ground from the very fact that the 27 countries of the European Union were able to agree on a common position in post-Brexit trade talks, which are expected to resume next week.

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Don’t Panic. The Recent Market Drop Reflects a Sentiment and Not the Real Coronavirus Damage to the World Economy

25 Febrero 2020 Mark Goichmann

The recent drop in the world's stock indexes by four to five % is associated with the "second wave" of the spreading of the coronavirus. The "lesions" caused by the spread of the virus went far beyond the epicentre - mainland China - and are affecting the heavily populated and industrial regions of Europe, especially Italy, and regions in Korea and Japan are also being affected. The fears that the effects of the virus on the world economy, world's production and trade are triggering investment risks. Such risks are in place and they are huge.

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U.S. and European Stocks Have Suffered Greatly, But May Fall Even Deeper Before a Big Recovery

25 Febrero 2020 Lysakov Sergey

The Stoxx Europe 600 index on Monday had its biggest one-day loss since June 2016, just after it reached its fresh all-time highs last week. The French CAC40 and the Deutsche Xetra DAX 30 indexes performed in a similar manner, while the FTSE MIB in Milan was the main loser among all European indexes with a fall of5.43% on Friday's closing, due to numerous messages related to the spread of the coronavirus in Northern Italy.

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The Virus is Taking Other Routes

24 Febrero 2020 Frederico Aragao Morais

Last Friday was marked by a great sense of risk aversion. Its origin was essentially the spread of the coronavirus outside Chinese territory. Not only China, but also South Korea and Japan reported an increase in people infected with the virus.

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Sometimes We Don't Know How to Count

21 Febrero 2020 Frederico Aragao Morais

Yesterday was a day marked by the growing doubts that arose regarding the exact number of cases affected by the coronavirus. The day started confidently, with the notion that the number had fallen, however the day ended with doubt about those same numbers.

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USD/JPY Is on the Wing, the Japanese Economy Backed Out

21 Febrero 2020 Lysakov Sergey

The Machinery Orders released by the Government of Japan this week showed a disturbing -3.5% year-to-year decrease and a truly frightening -12.5% monthly drop in December after the indicator was on a negative side during the five of the last six months, excluding one inspiring jump by +18% in November.

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Good News, Historic Highs Have Been Reached

20 Febrero 2020 Frederico Aragao Morais

Yesterday was marked by a reduction in the number of coronavirus infections as well as the news that Chinese authorities may intervene in the aviation sector in order to mitigate the negative impacts of the virus. The main interest rate of the Chinese central bank was also reduced.

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More Than Precious Gold

20 Febrero 2020 Mark Goichmann

Gold prices on Thursday went sky high after breaking through the nine-year resistance level of $1612 toz. The last time gold futures temporarily jumped to this level was this January amid the US-Iran military tensions. At that time gold jumped due to the extreme risk of the large-scale military outbreak. Now it is different: markets are more or less quiet and have turned to a positive outlook, despite the coronavirus uncertainties.

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The British Pound Is Set for a Negative Mood As Post-Brexit Talks Are in a Blind Alley

20 Febrero 2020 Lysakov Sergey

The UK labour data and inflation figures initially boosted the British Pound in the first half of the week, but all the positive effects disappeared as the EU ambassadors failed to agree on the approach to be used in the so-called "level playing field" from which mandatory conditions in post-Brexit trade talks could be created by the side of continental Europe.

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