Opiniones de mercado

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26.03.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) saw a decline of 0.3% this week, settling at 104.12 points. Conversely, the EURUSD pair experienced a 0.4% rise, reaching 1.08500. The notable volatility originated from China, where the Chinese offshore Yuan (CNH) unexpectedly plummeted last Friday. As a result, the USDCNH surged by 0.8% to 7.2800, marking its highest level since November 2023. This sudden movement caught investors off guard, especially considering the USDCNH had been trading within a narrow range of 7.1800-7.2200, closely monitored by China's central bank.
21.03.2024
Gold prices surged by 2.4% to reach $2205 per troy ounce, reaching a new all-time high of $2222. This upward momentum followed a consolidation period around $2150 for ten days. Investors closely monitored the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, interest rate projections, and economic forecasts. With higher inflation in the United States and a mild cooling of the labor market in January and February, expectations aligned with the December interest rate outlook, which projected three interest rate cuts in 2024.
19.03.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has gained 0.5% to 103.93 points this week, signaling continued strength amid expectations of extended monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is set to meet this Wednesday. The EURUSD pair declined by 0.4% to 1.08450 as the Greenback strengthened. This movement comes in response to the recent inflation data for February in the United States, which showed an unexpected increase to 3.2% YoY, up from 3.1% YoY in January. Additionally, the producer price index surged to 1.
12.03.2024
The Greenback is trading neutrally this week, with the U.S. Dollar index (DXY) adding 0.1% to reach 102.83 points. The EURUSD has risen at the same pace to 1.09320, indicating good market synchronization. Last Friday, the Dollar experienced a 1.3% loss as the EURUSD peaked at 1.09810, the highest level since January 12. Despite a subsequent retreat, no reversal formations have been detected, suggesting a potential further decline of the Dollar. The primary reason for the Dollar's weakening is the cooling labor market in the United States.
07.03.2024
Gold prices are rising by 3.4% to $2154 per troy ounce. Gains were even bigger on Thursday morning, but the bullion has retreated a little. There is no particular reason for gold to rally by 5.5% since last Friday. The last time a similar upside movement was recorded was in October 2023 when Hamas attacked Israel. Prices surged by 6.0% within 6 days then. Although there are some reasons why gold prices are rising. Foremost, China is increasing gold imports from Switzerland. The country has bought 3 times more gold in January, reaching 110 tonnes. This is the highest in the last 3.
05.03.2024
The U.S. Dollar is exhibiting a neutral trend this week, with the U.S. Dollar index showing a slight 0.1% increase to 103.93 points. The EURUSD pair remains mostly unchanged, hovering slightly above the resistance at 1.08200-1.08400. In the previous week, the pair retraced to 1.08000 after approaching 1.09400. Macroeconomic data in the United States is favoring the weakening of the Dollar. The U.S. Q4 2023 GDP estimate was revised down to 3.2% QoQ from the previous 3.3%, while the Atlanta Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered its Q1 2024 GDP estimate to 2.
27.02.2024
The U.S. Dollar is experiencing a decline, with its index (DXY) dropping by 0.3% to 103.68 points this week. Against the Euro, the EURUSD has edged lower by 0.3%, currently trading at 1.08620. The performance of the Greenback appears mixed when compared to other major reserve currencies. The EURUSD is trading above the resistance level at 1.07900-1.08300, indicating a potential further upside. While the pair reached 1.08880 last week, it retreated after the release of mixed PMI data in both the Eurozone and the U.S. Nevertheless, the pair remains above 1.08000, a sign of strength.
22.02.2024
Gold prices have experienced a 1.0% increase, reaching $2032 per troy ounce this week. This contributes to a solid 2.0% rise since February 15. Despite the vulnerable position of gold, it has shown resilience and growth during this period. U.S. 10-year Treasuries yields are currently at three-month highs, ranging from 4.31% to 4.33%. Bets on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in March and May have declined to 6.5% and 27.5%, respectively.
20.02.2024
The currency market has stabilized following the release of January inflation data in the United States. The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is hovering around 104.30 points, while the EURUSD remains unchanged at 1.07700. Last week's inflation data in the U.S. exceeded expectations, indicating a monthly acceleration in prices. This suggests renewed inflationary pressures that may lead the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain its interest rates unchanged in March and May. Bets on interest rate cuts declined to 8.5% and 32.9%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
13.02.2024
The U.S. Dollar has been trading mostly neutral this week, with its index adding a marginal 0.1% to reach 104.17 points. The EURUSD fell by 0.16% to 1.07650. The currency market appears to be in a state of hibernation, and this trend may continue throughout February. Investors anticipate little direction in the market until March, although some volatility could be introduced by consumer sector data this week. The WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund (USDU) reported capital inflows of $9.0 million last week, However, the overall balance for the year remains negative at -$15.
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AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
XAGEUR
XAGUSD
XAUUSD

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