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Opiniones de mercado
Por tipo de mercado
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18.04.2024
Gold prices experienced a 1.7% increase this
week, reaching $2379 per troy ounce, following a sudden spike to $2431,
followed by a subsequent drop to $2333 per ounce last Friday. Currently, prices
appear to be consolidating.
Investor sentiment was largely influenced by
tensions in the Middle East, particularly as Iran launched over 300 missiles
and drones towards Israel. Despite Israel's interception of the majority of
these projectiles, concerns about the potential for a broader conflict persist
among investors.
The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) reported net capital
inflows of $39.
16.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has shown strength
this week, rising by 0.3% to 106.30. Conversely, the EURUSD has experienced a
decline of 0.2% to 1.06150, reaching its lowest level since November 2, 2023,
when it was lower at 1.0620 early Tuesday.
The currency market has been relatively
stagnant for almost four months, with the EURUSD mostly trading within the
1.08000-1.09000 range. However, the trend has finally shifted in favor of the
Greenback following higher-than-expected March inflation data in the United
States. Consumer prices for March increased to 3.
11.04.2024
Oil prices are facing downward pressure this
week, with Brent crude dropping by 0.4% to $90.28 per barrel. On Wednesday,
prices dipped even further to $89.00 per barrel amidst significant geopolitical
tensions, particularly concerning potential missile strikes from Iran on
Israeli military and government facilities. Despite these concerns, investors
are skeptical about the likelihood of such an escalation and are withdrawing
capital from crude assets. Last week, $103.8 million was pulled out of the
United States Oil Fund (USO), followed by another $49.
09.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) experienced a
slight decline of 0.1% to 103.95 points this week, prompting the EURUSD to
retreat by 0.3% to 1.08700. The market is bracing for the release of U.S.
inflation data on April 10.
Last week, the EURUSD flirted with the
possibility of dipping below 1.07000 but found support around 1.07250 before
rallying to 1.08760 ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls data release. Now, if the
pair manages to surpass 1.08700, it could potentially continue its ascent
towards 1.10000. However, it's likely to hover around 1.
04.04.2024
Gold prices surged by 2.7% to reach $2293 per
troy ounce this week, marking a new all-time high at $2305, where a formidable
resistance level resides, suggesting a challenging breakthrough.
The precious metal has exhibited remarkable performance,
with a 12.5% increase since the onset of March. This rapid ascent echoes the
trajectory seen during the outbreak of the war in Ukraine in February 2022 when
gold prices soared by 15.0% to $2070 within six weeks.
02.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) surged by 0.5% to
reach 104.84 this week, marking its highest reading since February 14. In
contrast, the EURUSD experienced a decline of 0.5%, falling to 1.07240. This
unexpected rise in the Dollar followed a report of slowing inflation published
the previous Friday.
Despite expectations of a weaker Dollar, the
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund (USDU) reported net capital
outflows of $3.9 million after maintaining a near-zero balance for two
consecutive weeks. This indicates that bets on a weaker Dollar have begun to
emerge. However, U.S.
28.03.2024
Brent crude prices
have seen a modest 0.7% increase, reaching $86.35 per barrel. Despite attempts to test the resistance zone at $87.00-92.00 per barrel
earlier in the week, similar to mid-March, they fell short. This pattern
suggests a potential period of heightened volatility ahead, signaling caution
for oil markets.
This anticipated period of volatility could
persist until mid-May, potentially leading to a precarious downside scenario
with prices possibly plunging to $50 per barrel.
26.03.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) saw a decline of
0.3% this week, settling at 104.12 points. Conversely, the EURUSD pair
experienced a 0.4% rise, reaching 1.08500. The notable volatility originated
from China, where the Chinese offshore Yuan (CNH) unexpectedly plummeted last
Friday. As a result, the USDCNH surged by 0.8% to 7.2800, marking its highest
level since November 2023.
This sudden movement caught investors off
guard, especially considering the USDCNH had been trading within a narrow range
of 7.1800-7.2200, closely monitored by China's central bank.
21.03.2024
Gold prices surged by 2.4% to reach $2205 per
troy ounce, reaching a new all-time high of $2222. This upward momentum
followed a consolidation period around $2150 for ten days. Investors closely
monitored the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions, interest rate
projections, and economic forecasts.
With higher inflation in the United States and
a mild cooling of the labor market in January and February, expectations
aligned with the December interest rate outlook, which projected three interest
rate cuts in 2024.
19.03.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has gained 0.5% to
103.93 points this week, signaling continued strength amid expectations of
extended monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is set to meet
this Wednesday.
The EURUSD pair declined by 0.4% to 1.08450 as
the Greenback strengthened. This movement comes in response to the recent
inflation data for February in the United States, which showed an unexpected
increase to 3.2% YoY, up from 3.1% YoY in January. Additionally, the producer
price index surged to 1.
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